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    Friday, February 05, 2010

     

    Mixed Jobs Report for January (BLS)

    by Dollars and Sense

    The Bureau of Labor Statistics has released its employment numbers for January. It is a mixed report: the official unemployment rate fell from 10.0% to 9.7%, yet the economy lost 20,000 non-farm jobs. This means that the decline in the rate of unemployment has to do with people who aren't (fully) employed but aren't counted as unemployed (i.e. they have become discouraged or marginally attached). The BLS also revised upward its estimate of the number of jobs that were lost in Dec. 2009, from 80,000 up to 150,000. Here are the basics from the BLS:
    THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- JANUARY 2010

    The unemployment rate fell from 10.0 to 9.7 percent in January, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-20,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment fell in construction and in transportation and warehousing, while temporary help services and retail trade added jobs.

    Household Survey Data

    In January, the number of unemployed persons decreased to 14.8 million, and the unemployment rate fell by 0.3 percentage point to 9.7 percent.

    In January, unemployment rates for most major worker groups--adult men (10.0 percent), teenagers (26.4 percent), blacks (16.5 percent), and Hispanics (12.6 percent)--showed little change. The jobless rate for adult women fell to 7.9 percent, and the rate for whites declined to 8.7 percent. The jobless rate for Asians was 8.4 percent, not seasonally adjusted.

    This release includes new household survey tables with information about employment and unemployment of veterans, persons with a disability, and the foreign born. In January, the unemployment rate of veterans from Gulf War era II (September 2001 to the present) was 12.6 percent, compared with 10.4 percent for nonveterans. Persons with a disability had a higher jobless rate than persons with no disability--15.2 versus 10.4 percent. In addition, the labor force participation rate of persons with a disability was 21.8 percent, compared with 70.1 percent for those without a disability. The unemployment rate for the foreign born was 11.8 percent, and the rate for the native born was 10.3 percent. (The data in these new tables are not seasonally adjusted.)

    In January, the number of persons unemployed due to job loss decreased by 378,000 to 9.3 million. Nearly all of this decline occurred among permanent job losers.

    The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks and over) continued to trend up in January, reaching 6.3 million. Since the start of the recession in December 2007, the number of long-term unemployed has risen by 5.0 million.

    In January, the civilian labor force participation rate was little changed at 64.7 percent. The employment-population ratio rose from 58.2 to 58.4 percent.

    The number of persons who worked part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) fell from 9.2 to 8.3 million in January. These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job.

    About 2.5 million persons were marginally attached to the labor force in January, an increase of 409,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey.

    Among the marginally attached, there were 1.1 million discouraged workers in January, up from 734,000 a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The remaining 1.5 million people marginally attached to the labor force had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey for reasons such as school attendance or family responsibilities.

    Read the full report.

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    2/05/2010 01:00:00 PM 1 comments

    Friday, January 08, 2010

     

    December Job Numbers (BLS)

    by Dollars and Sense

    The Bureau of Labor Statistics came out with its Employment Situation report today. The unemployment rate stayed the same at 10.0%, but 85,000 jobs were lost in December. Here are the basics of the report:

    Nonfarm payroll employment edged down (-85,000) in December, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 10.0 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and wholesale trade, while temporary help services and health care added jobs.

    In December, both the number of unemployed persons, at 15.3 million, and the unemployment rate, at 10.0 percent, were unchanged. At the start of the recession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons was 7.7 million, and the unemployment rate was 5.0 percent.

    Unemployment rates for the major worker groups--adult men (10.2 percent), adult women (8.2 percent), teenagers (27.1 percent), whites (9.0 percent), blacks (16.2 percent), and Hispanics (12.9 percent)--showed little change in December. The unemployment rate for Asians was 8.4 percent, not seasonally adjusted.

    Among the unemployed, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks and over) continued to trend up, reaching 6.1 million. In December, 4 in 10 unemployed workers were jobless for 27 weeks or longer.

    The civilian labor force participation rate fell to 64.6 percent in December. The employment-population ratio declined to 58.2 percent.

    The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) was about unchanged at 9.2 million in December and has been relatively flat since March. These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job.

    About 2.5 million persons were marginally attached to the labor force in December, an increase of 578,000 from a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey.

    Among the marginally attached, there were 929,000 discouraged workers in December, up from 642,000 a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The remaining 1.6 million persons marginally attached to the labor force had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey for reasons such as school attendance or family responsibilities.


    Read the full report.

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    1/08/2010 12:03:00 PM 0 comments

    Wednesday, August 26, 2009

     

    Wednesday's Recommended Reading

    by Dollars and Sense

    On China's stimulus, by a (sort-of) insider. Interesting how the author faces up to some serious problems, but disconcerting insamuch as no mention is given to the likely environmental impact of the massive infrastructure-building program, especially in its more extravagantly wasteful aspects (dirty airports to nowhere, etc).

    The FT's Krishna Guha on the future of central banking. Substitute class analysis at a couple of major points and you could be getting somewhere...

    Ambrose Evans-Pritchard on Bernanke's re-appointment. He makes several of the points other commentators, like Stephen Roach have, but with a wider perspective, and more style:

    His reflex is to see any fall in demand as an outside shock to be corrected by extra stimulus. What he does not accept is that the adrenal glands of the economic system have been depleted by perpetual credit stimulus, giving the world a form of Addison's Disease.

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    8/26/2009 10:43:00 AM 0 comments

     

    Labor Leader To Head New York Fed

    by Dollars and Sense

    Yves Smith thinks it's a gimmick, but one that may have some unexpected consequences.

    Tuesday, August 25, 2009
    Naked Capitalism

    Labor Leader Chosen to Head of New York Fed Board of Directors

    Joseph Stiglitz has said that labor should have a voice in the setting of interest rate policy. Is this change at the New York Fed, teh appointment of the AFL-CIO's Denis Hughes as the replacement to ex Goldman co-chairman Steve Friedman as chairman of the New York Fed, a step in that direction?

    If it proves to be, it will only be by dint of miscalculation. This is clearly an image-burnishing move by the Fed, throwing a bone to critics, But letting labor into the tent may have unexpected consequences, simply by allowing someone who has not drunk the financial services industry Kool-Aid more influence (Hughes was on the board, but as vice chairman). This appointment is only until year-end, but if the Fed continues to be under political pressure, it isn't hard to imagine this appointment being extended.

    The Journal's Deal Journal voices the opposite possibility, that labor is being co-opted. The branding of labor as monolithic and radical is a bit of a canard. In the 1930s, the old AFL, which was a craft union, was comparatively conservative and regarded more favorably than upstart and aggressive CIO, for instance.

    From the Wall Street Journal (hat tip reader LeeAnne):

    Denis Hughes, president of the New York state branch of the AFL-CIO, had been serving as acting chairman of the New York Fed board since May, when Stephen Friedman stepped down from the position.

    Mr. Friedman, a former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chairman and adviser to President George W. Bush, had faced questions about his purchases of Goldman stock while serving on the New York Fed's board.

    The Fed decision formalizes Mr. Hughes's role as chairman through the end of 2009. The Fed board in Washington will announce in November or December who will serve as chairman in 2010. Columbia University President Lee Bollinger was named deputy chairman, a position that Mr. Hughes previously held. Mr. Bollinger has been a New York Fed director since January 2007.

    The New York Fed chairmanship typically has gone to prominent Wall Street executives or academics. The ascension of a labor leader is a new twist for the New York Fed and a sign of the public pressure the Fed has been under to loosen its close ties to Wall Street.

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    8/26/2009 10:37:00 AM 0 comments

    Sunday, August 16, 2009

     

    Squeezing Both Ends of the Labor Market

    by Dollars and Sense

    These two recent pieces focus on disturbing developments in labor markets. Ambrose Evans-Prithchard zeroes in on unbelievable global undercapacity rates, and on troubling disinflationary readings, in spite of massive money creation schemes undertaken in the US, UK and Japan. Surely tongue-in-cheek, he actually ends his piece "Back to socialism anybody (The only objection I'd have to this deals with the "back to")?"

    The second piece, posted on Time Magazine's "The Curious Capitalist" blog, fleshes out Evans-Pritchard's view by looking at developments on the high end of the labor market, and specifically on Silicon Valley. The essential insight here is that the demand for talent may be forcing technology companies to redouble their efforts in an increasingly competitive market by attempting to initiate ever-larger labor-saving technological advances. It also makes the key point that the wage gap in this country goes far beyond Wall Street.

    Taken together, the picture that emerges is one in which a geographical form of labor arbitrage (playing off workers in one part of the world against others in other parts of the world) is being reinforced by technology that both increases the market power of the highest-paid while reducing that of just about everyone else. This is hardly a novel insight, but it's instructive to revisit it now and then. And, with data like these, the picture of thew underlying trend seems to become more well-defined all the time.

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    8/16/2009 02:20:00 PM 0 comments

    Sunday, August 09, 2009

     

    July U6 Measure of Unemployment: 16.3%

    by Dollars and Sense

    Along with Friday's readings of 247,000 jobs lost in July (far less than expected), and the slight movement downward in the official unemployment rate to 9.4% from 9.5%, the Bureau of Labor statistics also released the less publicized U5 and U6 readings, which attempt to flesh out the woefully incomplete (the official figure doesn't include so-called "discouraged workers," who aren't actively looking for jobs, etc) official number, by taking into account various categories of underemployment (part-time workers looking for full-time work, etc.). U5 came in at 10.7% and U6 at 16.3%. It should be mentioned that both these figures represent improvements upon June's readings of 10.8% and 16.5%, respectively. Here's a link to the BLS numbers, which also provides short summaries of the different measures.

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    8/09/2009 06:02:00 PM 0 comments

    Thursday, July 02, 2009

     

    Male Worker Jobless Rate In June: 10.6 Percent

    by Dollars and Sense

    A summary of today's BLS report from Bob Feldman:

    The official "seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for male workers in the United States over 16 years-of-age increased from 10.5 percent to 10.6 percent between May 2009 and June 2009, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

    The official "seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for white male workers increased from 9 percent to 9.2 percent between May 2009 and June 2009.

    For all U.S. workers, the "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate increased from 9.1 percent to 9.7 percent between May 2009 and June 2009.

    The official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Black female workers over 20 years-of-age also increased from 11.1 percent to 11.7 percent between May 2009 and June 2009; and the official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Black workers increased from 14.7 percent to 15.3 percent during this same period.

    The official "not seasonally adjusted" rate for all Black male workers over 20 years-of age was still 16.1 percent in June 2009.

    The official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Black youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age increased from 40.1 percent to 45 percent between May 2009 and June 2009, while the "not seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Hispanic or Latino youth was still 30.1 percent during this same period. The official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for white youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age also increased from 21.1 percent to 25 percent between May 2009 and June 2009.

    Between May 2009 and June 2009, the official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Hispanic or Latina women jumped from 10.5 percent to 11.5 percent, while the "not seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Asian-American workers jumped from 6.7 percent to 8.2 percent during this same period. The official "seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for all Hispanic and Latino workers in the United States in June 2009 was 12.2 percent.

    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' July 2, 2009 press release:

    "Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in June (-467,000)... Job losses were widespread across the major industry sectors, with large declines occurring in manufacturing, professional and business services, and construction ...

    "The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) increased by 433,000 over the month to 4.4 million. In June, 3 in 10 unemployed persons were jobless for 27 weeks or more...

    "Employment in manufacturing fell by 136,000 over the month… Within the durable goods industry, motor vehicles and parts (-27,000), fabricated metal products (-18,000), computer and electronic products (-16,000), and machinery (-14,000) continued to lose jobs in June.

    "In June, employment in construction fell by 79,000, with losses spread throughout the industry…Mining employment fell by 8,000 in June...

    "Employment in the professional and business services industry declined by 118,000 in June... Within this sector, employment in temporary help services fell by 38,000 in June...

    "Retail trade employment edged down in June (-21,000)…Over the month, job losses continued in automobile dealerships (-9,000). Employment continued to fall in wholesale trade (-16,000).

    "In June, financial activities employment continued to decline (-27,000)…In June, employment declined in credit intermediation and related activities (-10,000) and in securities, commodity contracts, and investments (-6,000).

    "The information industry lost 21,000 jobs over the month…

    "Employment in federal government fell by 49,000 in June, largely due to the layoff of workers temporarily hired to prepare for Census 2010..."

    --b.f.

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    7/02/2009 12:47:00 PM 0 comments

    Wednesday, June 10, 2009

     

    Real Unemployment Rate Now 16.4%

    by Dollars and Sense

    We just posted John Miller's article on the real unemployment rate—adjusted to include involuntarily part-time workers and "discouraged" workers. The May numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, using the bureau's expanded "U-6" rate, show an astonishing 16.4% rate of unemployment. As Miller points out, "no bout of unemployment since the last year of the Great Depression in 1941 would have produced an adjusted."

    Of course, many groups of workers have already been facing official unemployment rates in the double digits—in some cases even higher than the adjusted rate of 16.4%:
    As of May, unemployment rates for black, Hispanic, and teenage workers were already 14.9%, 12.7% and 22.7%, respectively. Workers without a high-school diploma confronted a 15.5% unemployment rate, while the unemployment rate for workers with just a high-school degree was 10.0%. Nearly one in five (19.2%) construction workers were unemployed. In Michigan, the hardest hit state, unemployment was at 12.9% in April. Unemployment rates in seven other states were at double-digit levels as well.
    Another measure of how this downturn compares to other post-war recessions: "The current downturn has pushed up unemployment rates by more than any previous postwar recession," from 4.9% at the start of the recession to the current (official) rate of 9.4%—an increase of 4.5 percentage points. The only post-war recession to rival the current one, the 1982 recession, had a peak official unemployment rate of 10.8%. But that was only 3.4 percentage points above the starting rate of 7.4%. And as Miller points out, "topping the 1982 recession's peak rate of 10.8% is now distinctly possible."

    Read the full article.

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    6/10/2009 03:31:00 PM 0 comments

    Friday, June 05, 2009

     

    Latino Jobless Rate Jumps To 12.7% In May

    by Dollars and Sense

    A summary of today's BLS report from Bob Feldman:

    The official "seasonally adjusted” unemployment rate for Latino workers in the United States increased jumped from 11.3% to 12.7% between April 2009 and May 2009, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

    The official "seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for white male workers also increased from 8.5% to 9% between April 2009 and May 2009.

    For all U.S. male workers over 16 years-of-age, the officially "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate increased from 10% to 10.5% between April 2009 and May 2009.

    For all U.S. workers, the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate increased from 8.9% to 9.4% between April 2009 and May 2009.

    The official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Black female workers over 20 years-of-age also increased from 10.5% to 11.1% between April 2009 and May 2009; and the official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Black workers increased from 14.4% to 14.7% during this same period.

    The official "seasonally adjusted" rate for all Black male workers over 20 years-of age was still 16.8% in May 2009.

    The official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Black youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age increased from 33.5% to 40.1% between April 2009 and May 2009, while the "not seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Hispanic or Latino youth increased from 26.5% to 31% during this same period. The official "not seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for white youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age also increased from 18.8% to 21.1% between April 2009 and May 2009.

    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' June 5, 2009 press release:

    "...Employment fell by 345,000 in May...Steep job losses continued in manufacturing...

    "The number of unemployed persons increased by 787,000 to 14.5 million in May...

    "The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) increased by 268,000 over the month...

    "...The employment-population ratio, at 59.7%, continued to trend down...

    "Manufacturing employment fell by 156,000 in May...Three durable goods industries—motor vehicles and parts (-30,000), machinery (-26,000), and fabricated metal products (-19,000)—accounted for about half of the overall decline in factory employment...Mining shed 11,000 jobs in May...

    "Employment in construction decreased by 59,000 in May...In May, employment fell in nonresidential specialty trade contractors (-30,000) and in residential construction of buildings (-11,000)...

    "Retail trade employment was down by 18,000 in May...Employment in wholesale trade fell by 22,000 over the month...

    "Financial activities employment continued to decrease in May (-30,000). Securities lost 10,000 jobs and real estate lost 9,000...Employment in information decreased by 24,000 in May... "

    --b.f.

    See the full June 5th BLS "Employment Situation Report."

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    6/05/2009 03:06:00 PM 0 comments

    Wednesday, June 03, 2009

     

    April-to-May Job Loss: 532,000

    by Dollars and Sense

    The ADP National Employment Report covers "nonfarm private employment" and comes out a bit in advance of Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The current report revises upward by 54,000 the estimate of job losses in March-to-April job loss, and estimates April-to-May job loss at 532,000. So it appears that, even before the massive job losses that should follow the bankruptcy of GM, the U.S. economy is still shedding more than half a million jobs a month. So much for "green shoots."

    Our July/August issue will include an "Economy in Numbers" by John Miller on unemployment, comparing the official unemployment rate (currently 8.5% as of March) with the BLS's broader alternative U-6 measure, which also includes marginally employed and unwillingly part-time workers. John says: "[T]opping the 8.9% peak unemployment rate of the 1973-75 recession or even the 10.8% peak rate in the 1982 recession is now only a matter of time." And that's for the official rate; the U-6 rate is already at 15.6% for March.

    Here's the abstract of the ADP report:
    The ADP National Employment Report

    May, 2009

    Nonfarm private employment decreased 532,000 from April to May 2009 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report ©. The estimated change of employment from March to April was revised by 54,000, from a decline of 491,000 to a decline of 545,000.

    See the pdf of the full report.

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    6/03/2009 09:56:00 AM 0 comments

    Friday, May 08, 2009

     

    Real Unemployment at Record High

    by Dollars and Sense

    The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the "official" unemployment rate for April is 8.9%, a stunning jump from 4.8% just a year earlier. It is the highest jobless rate since the glory days of the Reagan Revolution in 1983. The country lost 539,000 jobs last month, which reporters are scrambling to put a happy face on by saying that "analysts had predicted a loss of 600,000," although this difference is more than offset by the 72,000 temporary government jobs associated with the 2010 census.

    Over 4 million million jobs have been lost in the past six months, and over 5 million during the last 16 straight months of job losses. However, to get back to pre-recession/depression rate (if things magically started recovering like last week) we would need to add 7 million jobs, to account for the growth in the population.

    The real story, of course, is much grimmer. The official BLS rate (shown in line U3 of the monthly reports) only counts those actively seeking work.

    Line U6 of that same report, however, gives a more accurate picture of the state of unemployment. This rate stands at 15.8% for April 2009, up from 8.9% a year earlier. (All the info comes from the BLS website).

    The U6 number includes the following:

      *Discouraged workers: those who have looked for a job in the past twelve months but given up.

      *Marginally attached workers: This group includes discouraged workers above, as well as others who have looked for work in the recent past and would accept a job if offered. They are not included in the "official" count because they have not looked for work in the past four weeks.

      *Part-time workers for economic reasons: This group includes people who are employed part time, but are actively seeking full-time work because they want (and presumably need) it. A more accurate description is "involuntary part-time workers."


    --d.f.

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    5/08/2009 09:53:00 AM 1 comments

    Friday, April 03, 2009

     

    BLS March Unemployment Data

    by Dollars and Sense

    The Bureau of Labor Statistics released it's initial estimate of the unemployment rate for March 2009 today. Here is the beginning official summary:
    THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION: MARCH 2009

    Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline sharply in March (-663,000),
    and the unemployment rate rose from 8.1 to 8.5 percent, the Bureau of Labor
    Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Since the recession
    began in December 2007, 5.1 million jobs have been lost, with almost two-thirds
    (3.3 million) of the decrease occurring in the last 5 months. In March, job
    losses were large and widespread across the major industry sectors.

    Unemployment (Household Survey Data)

    In March, the number of unemployed persons increased by 694,000 to 13.2 mil-
    lion, and the unemployment rate rose to 8.5 percent. Over the past 12 months,
    the number of unemployed persons has grown by about 5.3 million, and the unem-
    ployment rate has risen by 3.4 percentage points. Half of the increase in both
    the number of unemployed and the unemployment rate occurred in the last 4 months.


    Here's the full summary.

    Bob Feldman dug out some of the details for us here:

    Black Male Worker Jobless Rate: 16.4 Percent In March

    The official "not-seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Black male workers over 20 years-of-age in the United States increased from 16.1 percent to 16.4 percent between February 2009 and March 2009, while the "seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Black male workers increased from 14.9 percent to 15.4 percent, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Black workers in March 2009 was 13.5 percent, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Black workers in March was 13.3 percent. (http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t02.htm )

    The "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Hispanic or Latino workers increased from 12.1 percent to 12.2 percent between February 2009 and March 2009, while the "seasonally adjusted" rate for all Hispanic or Latino workers increased from 10.9 percent to 11.4 percent during this same period.

    For all U.S. workers over 20 years-of-age, the "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate increased from 8.9 percent to 9 percent between February 2009 and March 2009, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all U.S. workers increased from 8.1 percent to 8.5 percent. The "not-seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for white male workers also increased from 9 percent to 9.3 percent between February 2009 and March 2009. The "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Hispanic or Latino male workers was 12.2 percent in March 2009, while the "not seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Hispanic or Latino women workers increased from 10.2 percent to 10.8 percent between February 2009 and March 2009.

    The "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Black youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age was 32.5 percent in March 2009, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for white youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age increased from 19.1 percent to 20 percent between February 2009 and March 2009. The "not seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Hispanic or Latino youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age was 24.9 percent in March 2009.

    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ April 3, 2009 press release:

    "Nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline sharply in March (-663,000)...In March, job losses were large and widespread across the major industry sectors.

    "In March, the number of unemployed persons increased by 694,000 to 13.2 million...Over the past 12 months, the number of unemployed persons has grown by about 5.3 million...Half of the increase in both the number of unemployed and the unemployment rate occurred in the last 4 months...

    "Among the unemployed, the number of job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs increased by 547,000 to 8.2 million in March. This group has nearly doubled in size over the past 12 months...

    "The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) rose to 3.2 million over the month...

    "In March, the number of persons working part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) climbed by 423,000 to 9.0 million...

    "About 2.1 million persons (not seasonally adjusted) were marginally attached to the labor force in March, 754,000 more than a year earlier. These individuals wanted and were available for work and had looked for a job sometimes in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. Among the marginally attached, there were 685,000 discouraged workers in March, up by 284,000 from a year earlier. Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them...

    "Manufacturing employment fell by 161,000 in March, with widespread job losses occurring among the component industries...In March, the largest decreases occurred in fabricated metal products (-28,000), machinery (-27,000), and transportation equipment (-26,000).

    "The construction industry lost 126,000 jobs in March...Employment fell in specialty trade contractors (-83,000) and construction of buildings (-33,000). These declines were split about evenly between the residential and nonresidential portions of these industries. Heavy and civil engineering construction also lost 10,000 jobs. Employment in mining and logging declined by 18,000 in March.

    "Employment in professional and business services fell by 133,000 in March...More than half of the loss occurred in temporary help services, which cut 72,000 jobs in March...In March, architectural and engineering services lost 16,000 jobs.

    "Retail trade employment fell by 48,000 over the month...In March, employment decreased in building material and garden supply stores (-13,000), automobile dealerships (-12,000), and electronics and appliance stores (-10,000). Employment in wholesale trade fell by 31,000 in March...

    "Employment in financial activities continued to decline in March (-43,000)...In March, job losses occurred in credit intermediation (-15,000); real estate (-12,000); and securities, commodity contracts, and investments (-7,000).

    "Leisure and hospitality shed 40,000 jobs in March, with most of the decrease in the accommodation industry (-23,000)...

    "Transportation and warehousing lost 34,000 jobs in March...In March, employment declined in truck transportation (-15,000), support activities for transportation (-7,000) and couriers and messengers (-5,000)..."

    --b.f.

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    4/03/2009 02:39:00 PM 0 comments

    Friday, March 06, 2009

     

    Black Male Jobless Rate: 16.1% in February

    by Dollars and Sense

    From Bob Feldman; includes key excerpts from today's BLS report.

    Black Male Worker Jobless Rate: 16.1 Percent In February

    The official "not-seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Black male workers over 20 years of age in the United States increased from 15.8 percent to 16.1 percent between January 2009 and February 2009, while the "seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Black male workers increased from 14.1 percent to 14.9 percent, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data (http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t02.htm ) . The "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Black workers over 20 years of age increased from 13.4 percent to 13.8 percent during this same period, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Black workers increased to 13.4 percent.

    For all U.S. workers, the "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate jumped from 8.5 percent to 8.9 percent between January 2009 and February 2009, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all U.S. workers increased to 8.1 percent. The "not-seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for white male workers also increased from 8.3 percent to 9 percent between January 2009 and February 2009. The "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Hispanic or Latino male workers increased from 11 percent to 12.1 percent between January 2009 and February 2009.

    Between January 2009 and February 2009, the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Black youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age increased from 36.5 percent to 38.8 percent, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for white youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age was 19.1 percent.

    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 6, 2009 press release:

    "The number of unemployed persons increased by 851,000 to 12.5 million in February...

    "Among the unemployed, the number of job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs increased by 716,000 to 7.7 million in February...

    "The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) increased by 270,000 to 2.9 million in February...

    "In February, the number of persons who worked part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) rose by 787,000, reaching 8.6 million...This category includes persons who would like to work full time but were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find full-time jobs...

    "There were 731,000 discouraged workers in February, up by 335,000 from a year earlier. Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them...

    "Total nonfarm payroll employment dropped by 651,000 in February...

    "Employment in professional and business services fell by 180,000 in

    February. The temporary help industry lost 78,000 jobs over the month....In February, job declines also occurred in services to buildings and dwellings (-17,000), architectural and engineering services (-16,000), and business support services (-12,000).

    "Widespread job losses continued in manufacturing in February (-168,000).

    The majority of the decline occurred in durable goods industries (-132,000), with the largest decreases in fabricated metal products (-28,000) and machinery (-25,000). Employment in nondurable goods manufacturing declined by 36,000 over the month.

    "The construction industry lost 104,000 jobs in February...

    "Employment in truck transportation declined by 33,000 in February...The information industry continued to lose jobs (-15,000)...


    "Employment in financial activities continued to decline in February
    (-44,000).... In February, job losses occurred in real estate (-11,000); credit intermediation (-11,000); and securities, commodity contracts, and investments (-8,000).

    "Retail trade employment fell by 40,000 over the month...In February, employment decreased in automobile dealerships (-9,000), sporting goods (-9,000), furniture and homefurnishing stores (-8,000), and building material and garden supply stores (-7,000). Employment in wholesale trade fell by 37,000 over the month, with nearly all of the decline occurring in durable goods.

    "Employment in leisure and hospitality continued to trend down over the month (-33,000), with about half of the decrease in the accommodation industry (-18,000)..."

    --b.f.

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    3/06/2009 01:19:00 PM 0 comments

    Wednesday, March 04, 2009

     

    Unemployment Picture Yet Worse

    by Dollars and Sense

    It is getting tedious (not to mention scary) to have to keep relaying yet-worse news on employment. But here it is:

    • The ADP National Employment Report, a private alternative to Bureau of Labor Statistics data, came out with their latest report today (the BLS numbers for February come out on Friday). The short version: "Nonfarm private employment decreased 697,000 from January 2009 to February 2009 on a seasonally adjusted basis... The estimated change of employment from December 2008 to January 2009 was revised down by 92,000, from a decline of 522,000 to a decline of 614,000." And I had gotten so used to talking about the economy shedding half a million jobs a month in this recession; that convenient turn of phrase will no longer work, alas. The full report is worth checking out just for the spectacular graphs.

    • The Providence Journal reports that Rhode Island's jobless rate has reached 10.3%. (No need to click on the link; the site is really annoying, with lots of ads, pop-ups, animations, and the cheesy domain name, "projo.com". And the article isn't too informative beyond that landmark statistic. NPR reported yesterday that RI's unemployment rate is second worst after Michigan's, but the Journal didn't even go that deep. I guess no Rhode Islanders have gotten laid of in Michigan yet.)

    • Yesterday we weighed in on a New York Times article about women's paychecks that has generated some criticism in the feminist blogosphere; I posted an article on women and unemployment from our November/December 2008 issue. Not about the current horrifying numbers, but relevant, and refers to Heather Bouchey's interesting research.

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    3/04/2009 10:57:00 AM 0 comments

    Tuesday, February 10, 2009

     

    Job Losses Compared

    by Dollars and Sense

    Dollars & Sense collective member and Bentley University economist Bryan Snyder sent us this rather disturbing graph, based on Bureau of Labor Statistics data (including data from last Friday's jobs report), requesting that we post it to the blog with the following question: "Stare at this image for a few minutes...if you see a 'sailboat' or a 'tax cut,' chances are you are a Republican."

    Click on the image for a better view.

    Bryan just told me it's from Nancy Pelosi's website, and that he first saw it last night on Rachel Maddow's show.

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    2/10/2009 02:02:00 PM 0 comments

    Friday, February 06, 2009

     

    Black Male Jobless Rate: 15.8% In January

    by Dollars and Sense

    As bad as the general official unemployment numbers are, the real jobless rate for Black males appears to have no bottom. From Bob Feldman.

    The official "not-seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Black male workers in the United States jumped from 13.8 percent to 15.8 percent between December 2008 and January 2009, while the "seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for Black male workers increased to 14.1 percent, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Black workers increased from 11.7 percent to 13.4 percent during this same period, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all Black workers increased to 12.6 percent.

    For all U.S. workers, the "not-seasonally adjusted" jobless rate jumped from 7.1 percent to 8.5 percent between December 2008 and January 2009, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for all U.S. workers increased to 7.6 percent. The "not-seasonally adjusted" unemployment rate for white male workers also increased from 6.8 percent to 8.3 percent between December 2008 and January 2009.

    Between December 2008 and January 2009, the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for Black youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age increased from 33.7 percent to 36.5 percent, while the "seasonally adjusted" jobless rate for white youth between 16 and 19 years-of-age was 18.4 percent.

    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' February 6, 2009 press release:

    "In January, job losses were large and widespread across nearly all major industry sectors." ...

    "Both the number of unemployed persons (11.6 million) and the unemployment rate (7.6 percent) rose in January." ...

    "The civilian labor force participation rate, at 65.5 percent in January, has edged down in recent months." ...

    "Total nonfarm payroll employment fell sharply (-598,000) in January...In January employment declined in nearly all major industries." ...

    "Manufacturing employment fell by 207,000 in January, the largest 1-month decline since October 1982. In January, durable goods manufacturing lost 157,000 jobs, with notable decreases in fabricated metal products (-37,000), motor vehicles and parts (-31,000), and machinery (-22,000). Employment in nondurable goods manufacturing declined by 50,000 over the month." ...

    "Construction lost 111,000 jobs in January... Employment fell across most component industries over the month." ...

    "The temporary help industry lost 76,000 jobs in January... Professional and technical services lost 29,000 jobs in January." ...

    "Retail trade employment fell by 45,000 in January... In January, employment declined in automobile dealerships (-14,000), building material and garden supply stores (-10,000), department stores (-9,000), and furniture and home furnishing stores (-7,000). Over the month, wholesale trade employment fell by 31,000." ...

    "Transportation and warehousing lost 44,000 jobs in January...In January, employment fell in truck transportation (-25,000), support activities for transportation (-9,000), and couriers and messengers (-4,000)." ...

    "Employment in financial activities declined by 42,000 over the month...In January, job losses occurred in securities, commodity contracts, and investments (-15,000) and in credit intermediation (-10,000)"
    --b.f.

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    2/06/2009 04:49:00 PM 1 comments

    Wednesday, January 28, 2009

     

    Union Membership Rises Again in 2008 (BLS)

    by Dollars and Sense

    Just in from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Hat-tip to Doug Henwood at lbo-talk. As Doug pointed out, two years in a row of increases (after years and years of decline) is pretty impressive, especially under a Republican administration.

    UNION MEMBERS IN 2008

    In 2008, union members accounted for 12.4 percent of employed wage
    and salary workers, up from 12.1 percent a year earlier, the U.S.
    Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The
    number of workers belonging to a union rose by 428,000 to 16.1 million.
    In 1983, the first year for which comparable union data are available,
    the union membership rate was 20.1 percent, and there were 17.7 million
    union workers.

    The data on union membership were collected as part of the Current
    Population Survey (CPS). The CPS is a monthly survey of about 60,000
    households that obtains information on employment and unemployment
    among the nation's civilian noninstitutional population age 16 and
    over.

    Some highlights from the 2008 data are:

    • Government workers were nearly five times more likely to belong
      to a union than were private sector employees.
    • Workers in education, training, and library occupations had the
      highest unionization rate at 38.7 percent.
    • Black workers were more likely to be union members than were
      white, Asian, or Hispanic workers.
    • Among states, New York had the highest union membership rate
      (24.9 percent) and North Carolina had the lowest rate (3.5 percent).

    Read the whole report.

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    1/28/2009 01:37:00 PM 0 comments

    Sunday, January 11, 2009

     

    Black Male Jobless Rate In Dec. 2008: 13.4%

    by Dollars and Sense

    From Bob Feldman; this repeats some of what we reported a couple of days ago, but it bears repeating...

    The "seasonally adjusted" official unemployment rate for Black male workers in the United States over the age of 20 jumped from 12.1% to 13.4% between November and December 2008, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

    In addition, the official jobless rate for Black youth between 16 and 19 years old in the United States increased from 32.2% to 33.7%, while the unemployment rate for white youth increased from 18.4% to 18.7%. The official jobless rate for Hispanic or Latino workers in the United States also increased from 8.6% to 9.2% between November and December 2008.

    The Bureau of Labor Statistics also summarized the December 2008 employment situation in the United States for all U.S. workers in the following way in its January 9, 2009 press release:
    Nonfarm payroll employment declined sharply in December, and the unemployment
    rate rose from 6.8 to 7.2 percent...Payroll employment fell by 524,000 over the
    month and by 1.9 million over the last 4 months of 2008. In December, job losses were large and widespread across most major industry sectors...

    In December, the number of unemployed persons increased by 632,000 to 11.1 million...Since the start of the recession in December 2007, the number of unemployed persons has grown by 3.6 million, and the unemployment rate has risen by 2.3 percentage points....

    The unemployment rates for...whites (6.6 percent) increased in December...

    Among the unemployed, the number of job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs rose by 315,000 to 6.5 million in December. Over the past 12 months, the size of this group has increased by 2.7 million. (See table A-8.) The number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) rose to 2.6 million in December and was up by 1.3 million in 2008....
    --b.f.

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    1/11/2009 01:10:00 PM 0 comments