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    Recent articles related to the financial crisis.

    Sunday, May 10, 2009

     

    GM Bankruptcy Clock Ticking Fast

    by Dollars and Sense

    GM appears likely to follow fellow carmaker Chrysler into bankruptcy court. The company lost $6 billion in the first quarter of the year, with no signs that sales will improve. The company faces a June 1 deadline imposed by the government to drastically reduce its liabilities and expenses, including persuading the United Auto Workers (UAW) to accept stock to cover the company's $20 billion obligation to fund retirees' health benefits, and bondholders to accept pennies on the dollar, again in stock, for $27 billion in current debt. The company must get both the union and 90% of the bondholders to agree to the terms or the government will withhold future loans, driving the company directly into bankruptcy where a judge can impose terms on all parties.

    Bankruptcy would also ease the company's plans to slash 2,600 of 6,246 dealerships over the next year.

    --d.f.

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    5/10/2009 05:18:00 PM 0 comments

    Monday, April 27, 2009

     

    GM Dumps Pontiac and Workers

    by Dollars and Sense

    In a last ditch to stave off bankruptcy, GM announced that it will ditch the Pontiac brand by the end of next year (Hummers, Saabs, and Saturns will be done by the end of 2009 but other companies may buy the brand names), cut 23,000 of its 61,000 factory jobs by 2011, and slash the number of dealers by 42% to 3,600, and offering creditors stock for debt. The US Treasury would end up with at least a 50% stake in the company, bondholders up to 10%, the UAW 39%, and existing stockholders 1%.

    Bondholders, who currently own $27 billion in company debt, are the key to the deal going forward. In a letter to bondholders, the company warned:

    "If we seek bankruptcy relief, you may receive consideration that is less than what is being offered in the exchange offers and it is possible that you may receive no consideration at all for your GM notes."


    The company will close 16 of its 47 US manufacturing plants by 2012, including six this year and seven next year.

    The automaker has already received over $15 billion in taxpayer funding and must present a restructuring plan by June 1 in order to receive additional funding and avoid bankruptcy.

    --d.f.

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    4/27/2009 02:51:00 PM 0 comments

    Wednesday, April 08, 2009

     

    No May Loans for GM and Chrysler

    by Dollars and Sense

    GM and Chrysler were not deemed "financially viable" by the Energy Department, a critical benchmarks that makes them ineligible for next month's disbursement of TARP funds.

    From the Washington Post:

    Next month, $25 billion in loans aimed at producing more fuel-efficient cars will start flowing to suppliers and automakers -- just not to the two companies most in need of funding, General Motors and Chrysler.

    The Energy Department program dictates that companies must be "financially viable" to receive the loans. And last week, the Obama administration ruled that, at least for now, both GM and Chrysler cannot meet that benchmark.

    The president gave GM 60 days to rework its restructuring plan by negotiating concessions from the United Auto Workers union and its bondholders. In 30 days, Chrysler must do the same, plus complete its proposed alliance with Fiat.

    "We don't see this as a denial of our application," GM spokesman Kerry Christopher said. "Until the determination that we're a viable company can be made, we're not going to be given the loans."

    Energy spokeswoman Stephanie Mueller said the department could not comment on individual applications.

    GM has applied for $10.3 billion to fund projects such as the Chevrolet Volt, its plug-in electric car. Chrysler is seeking about $8 billion to build hybrids and other battery-powered vehicles.

    Ford, which may be the only domestic automaker that qualifies, applied for $5 billion in direct loans by 2011.

    After lawmakers protested that these critical loans weren't moving fast enough to help the struggling auto industry, Energy Secretary Steven Chu said the first round of loans would be granted in May.

    "We're still on track to meet the secretary's time line of offering loans within the next few weeks," Mueller said.

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    4/08/2009 12:57:00 PM 0 comments

    Friday, March 13, 2009

     

    Auto Supplier and Six Flags Going Down

    by Dollars and Sense

    The car won't run and the park is closed.

    GM and Chrysler parts supplier American Axle appears headed for bankruptcy. The company's stock traded at $30 a share in 2007, but is now worth only pennies and will soon be delisted by the NYSE.

    Although the auto companies have received billions in federal bailout funds, parts suppliers have not, although proposals are floating around to include them in future plans. American Axle slashed 3,000 workers last year while losing $118 million.

    Theme park operator Six Flags Inc seems next in line for bankruptcy protection. The company appears unable to meet future payments to investors and creditors after a report that the company lost over $200 million in the final quarter of 2008.

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    3/13/2009 12:47:00 PM 0 comments

    Thursday, March 05, 2009

     

    Citi and GM Deathwatch

    by Dollars and Sense

    Citibank has now joined the ranks of the penny stocks. In 2006 the stock was trading at $55.70 and the company had a market capitalization of $277.2 billion. Today, the stock is trading at under $1 per share and the market cap is $5 billion. However, the US government has already lent the company $45 billion, so the actual value of the company is probably far less (i.e. negative).

    Bank of America isn't doing much better.

    On the auto front, auditors for GM are debating whether to continue to portray the carmaker as a "going concern." This determination will factor heavily in the company's ability to access more loans from the government or whether it will be headed straight for bankruptcy. GM stock is trading just below a lofty $2 mark.

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    3/05/2009 03:36:00 PM 0 comments

    Tuesday, February 24, 2009

     

    UAW Reaches Deal With Ford

    by Dollars and Sense

    From the wires. Ford hasn't received bailout money, but pressed the union for concessions because they didn't want to be disadvantaged if the union made concessions with Chrysler and GM. The deal still needs to be ratified by the union.

    DETROIT – The United Auto Workers and Ford Motor Co. said Monday they agreed to let the automaker change how it pays for a health care trust fund for retired workers, a deal that could serve as the model for cash-starved General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC.

    Ford said the agreement allows it to make payments to the union-managed trust with up to 50 percent of company stock instead of cash. Having the UAW take equity frees up cash for operations.

    "We will consider each payment when it is due and use our discretion in determining whether cash or stock makes sense at the time, balancing our liquidity needs and preserving shareholder value," said Ford spokesman Mark Truby in a written statement.

    Ford, like its Detroit and foreign competitors, is seeing a huge drop in sales as consumers shy away from purchasing new cars during a recession. However, the company has not asked for low-interest government loans. General Motors and Chrysler have asked for a total of $39 billion, and have received $17.4 billion so far.

    Under terms of the government loans, the Treasury Department set targets for Chrysler and GM to exchange half their cash payments to the trusts, called voluntary employee beneficiary associations, or VEBAs, for equity in the companies. Money freed up by supporting the VEBA with equity would potentially pare down GM's and Chrysler's borrowings from the government.

    For Ford, which isn't receiving government aid but is trying to cut costs, the agreement announced Monday is another in a series of concessions from auto workers.

    Terms of previous deals were not announced, but they were expected to eliminate the jobs bank in which laid-off workers get most of their pay, as well as lift work rules and make other changes that the government loan terms set out. The goal is for the companies' labor costs to be competitive with Japanese rivals that have U.S. factories.

    The UAW, meanwhile, said the health care trust deal helps save jobs, as a failure to help the auto companies cut costs could lead to a bankruptcy filing and massive layoffs.

    Although Ford was not required to renegotiate terms of its VEBA with the UAW, the company entered talks with the union, and said it would not be "disadvantaged" as GM and Chrysler sought concessions.

    The VEBAs were established as part of the landmark 2007 contract reached with the UAW. The trusts would pay health care bills for about 800,000 UAW retirees, spouses and dependents and move billions in liabilities off the companies' books. GM expects to save about $3 billion a year, while Ford says it will save $1 billion annually.
    Ford owes $6.3 billion to its VEBA at the end of this year. GM has to pay roughly $20 billion into its health care trust, while Chrysler must pay around $9.9 billion.

    The UAW's willingness to strike a deal with Ford first is significant, because it shows the union is acknowledging the challenges Ford is facing, said Hal Stack, director of the Labor Studies Center at Wayne State University in Detroit.

    "The question is whether they make a similar agreement with GM and Chrysler," he said. "It adds a certain element of risk to the equation for the UAW at a time when most people are nervous about any (financial) risk."

    The agreement between Ford and the UAW, along with other previously agreed to concessions, must be ratified by union members. The UAW is expected to meet with heads of its local branches this week. The change to the health care trust also requires court approval.


    Full story here.

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    2/24/2009 04:42:00 PM 0 comments

    Tuesday, January 13, 2009

     

    More GM Loan Fine Print: UAW Can't Strike

    by Dollars and Sense

    Yesterday we reported that newly disclosed details of the Bush emergency loan to GM included clauses forcing the automaker to seek massive concessions from their main union, the UAW, including pegging wages and working conditions to those at non-union U.S. plants.

    One major clause that we didn't mention, however, was that the UAW and its affiliated locals are prohibited from engaging in any strike or work stoppage. If the unions take either type of action, the government can recall the loans and force the company into bankruptcy.

    The terms of the government loans extends through December 29, 2011. The UAW has a "no-strike" clause in its current contract that extends though September 2011. However, local unions have different timetables for negotiating their contracts. If the UAW was forced to reopen its contract to make concessions, the no-strike clause could be set aside.

    The union is reportedly pushing its allies in Congress to reopen the terms of the loan agreement once the Obama administration takes office.

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    1/13/2009 02:04:00 PM 1 comments

    Monday, January 12, 2009

     

    GM Borrows, UAW Pays

    by Dollars and Sense

    GM CEO Rick Wagoner says that the $13.4 billion in U.S. government loans it has received should get the company through the end of March, but it may be back asking for additional help after that.

    Under the terms of the Bush-approved bailout, the automaker can only receive additional funds if it has shown that it can get tough concessions from bondholders and the United Auto Workers (UAW).

    The union made major concessions in 2007, however the Bush loan deal requires GM to get the union to agree to renegotiate a promised $21 billion company contribution to a retiree trust fund that will be the UAW, and also to force the union to agree to accept wage and work conditions equal to those at non-union plants.

    The union has raised loud objections to the terms of the loan, and a bill being pushed by Democrats in the House would strip the loan of these forced concessions.

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    1/12/2009 03:17:00 PM 0 comments

    Monday, December 22, 2008

     

    Toyota Profits Hit Pothole

    by Dollars and Sense

    Toyota expects to report its first operating loss in 70 years. The company announced that it will likely post a loss of $1.7 billion for the fiscal year ending March 31. For the previous year, the company reported an operating profit of $28 billion.

    The company expects next year's outlook to be even grimmer. November U.S. sales plunged 33.9%, still better than GM's 41% decline.

    The company has seen its sales plummet not only in the United States, its largest market, but also in China and India.

    With little debt and $18.5 billion in reserves, Toyota is in much better shape than its American rivals. However, the company's decline, as well as those of other carmakers and electronics companies, has shaken Japan's heavily export-dependent economy. Japan's finance minister reported on Monday that the country's exports 26.7% in November, the largest recorded drop since 1980 when statistics were first collected.

    More from the New York Times here.

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    12/22/2008 06:48:00 PM 0 comments

    Monday, November 10, 2008

     

    GM Shares Plummet On Analyst Report

    by Dollars and Sense

    A Deutsche Bank analyst forecast that GM's shares would soon be valued at $0 sent the car company's stock plummeting another 24% today. The analyst took the view that GM would either enter into bankruptcy or would enter into a government bailout that would leave shareholders with no equity.

    The stock fell to $3.02 in early trading, their lowest in over 60 years. Shares climbed back to $3.36 by the end of trading.

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    11/10/2008 05:22:00 PM 0 comments

    Friday, November 07, 2008

     

    No GM/Chrysler Deal

    by Dollars and Sense

    After losing a staggering $4.2 billion in the 3rd quarter, GM has been forced to call off talks about it buying fellow beleaguered car maker Chrysler.

    Cerberus Capital Management, the private company that owns Chrysler, is still on the hunt for some kind of public or private lifeline.

    In a side note (in case you missed it here),
    Cerberus is chaired by former Bush administration Treasury Secretary John Snow and its board includes Dan Quayle, who was vice president under former president George H.W. Bush.

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    11/07/2008 02:47:00 PM 0 comments

    Monday, November 03, 2008

     

    GM Chrysler Deal Would Cause Massive Layoffs

    by Dollars and Sense

    As sales at US automakers continue to fall through the floor, Chrysler and GM are trying desperately to hammer out a merger as their sales and cash reserves evaporate. They are currently seeking $10-12 billion dollars in government support to cover merger-related expenses. It's unclear how the merger of two money-losing companies would combine to make a profitable one.

    UAW President Ron Gettelfinger has expressed alarm at the deal's potential for massive job losses. The latest estimates are that Chrysler alone would have to cut more than half of its current workforce of 67,000 employees, and an additional 50,000 jobs in related industries would be in danger, according to the consulting firm of Grant Thornton.

    To complicate matters, the two cash-starved companies are currently facing payments of $7 billion each by 2010 into a the voluntary Employee beneficiary association, or VEBA, a trust fund designed to cover the future health care costs for union retirees. Any changes to the fund resulting from a merger would need union approval.

    The UAW is trying to reinsert itself as a major player in the talks, and has recently hired top ex-auto industry execs to help with its lobbying efforts.

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    11/03/2008 01:30:00 PM 0 comments

    Wednesday, October 29, 2008

     

    Movement on the Bailout Front

    by Dollars and Sense

    This could be pretty big news. From Reuters:

    Bair says FDIC's powers could extend to insurers


    Wed Oct 29, 2008 11:34am EDT

    By Karey Wutkowski



    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp's powers could be expanded if Congress decides to shift insurance companies from state regulation to federal regulation, FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair said on Wednesday.


    The FDIC could start providing guarantees for insurance companies, much like it already guarantees the deposits of most U.S. banks, if the insurance industry comes under federal regulation, Bair said. Insurance companies are currently regulated by individual states.


    "Our authorities would be expanded," Bair said at the annual conference of the International Association of Deposit Insurers.


    Read the rest of the article

    Many people know about this already, but remember the pressure on the automakers. They want to get a (subsidized) deal done before the election next week, so an incoming government won't be able to tamper with it. But the deal is so complex it'll be extremely difficult to pull off. Sounds a bit like Bear Stearns, but in the non-financial, real-economy sector. From the Financial Times:


    GM and Cerberus race to finalise Chrysler deal

    By Bernard Simon in Toronto, Julie MacIntosh in New York James Politi in Washington, John Reed in London.
    Tuesday Oct 28 2008 19:20



    General Motors (NYSE:GM) and Cerberus Capital Management are racing to finalise a deal for the carmaker to acquire the private equity group's stake in Chrysler before next week's US election.


    While many motor industry experts question the benefits of a tie-up between Detroit's number one and number three carmakers, they increasingly recognise that the companies have few other options. Both are bleeding cash and in danger of running out of liquidity some time next year as sales fall in their core US market.


    Read the rest of the article

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    10/29/2008 11:31:00 AM 1 comments

    Thursday, October 23, 2008

     

    Automakers Ditch Jobs, 401Ks, and NASCAR

    by Dollars and Sense

    A quick gloom and doom update on the US auto industry today.

    Chrysler announced that it was cutting 1,825 jobs. The cuts are about 6% of the company's hourly workforce of 33,000.

    General Motors announced that it is indefinitely suspending company matching contributions to employee 401K retirement accounts.

    The Washington Post reports that Detroit automakers are pulling out of NASCAR:

    GM's annual investment alone was rumored to be $120 million-$140 million at the peak of its involvement in NASCAR. But it severed sponsorships with Bristol Motor Speedway and New Hampshire Motor Speedway this summer, and deeper cuts are promised as part of GM's $10 billion cost-savings program.

    Ford officials announced yesterday that while they were extending their contract with Roush Fenway Racing -- its most decorated team in the elite Sprint Cup ranks -- they were also ending all direct financial support to teams in NASCAR's Nationwide and Truck series, considered developmental leagues. Dodge took a similar step in pulling out of the truck series, which also is losing Sears's Craftsman brand as its title sponsor at season's end.

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    10/23/2008 12:14:00 PM 0 comments

    Wednesday, October 22, 2008

     

    More Bad News For Automakers

    by Dollars and Sense

    Billionaire investor Kirk Kerkorian is cutting his losses by shedding part of his 6.49% stake in Ford Motor Company, and has announced that he will sell of the remainder of his holdings in the near future. Starting in April, Kerkorian began buying up about $1 billion worth of Ford stock. As of Tuesday, his holdings were worth less than $290 million, a loss of 71%.

    Like other US automakers, Ford is facing trouble from all sides: tightened consumer spending, a growing distaste for gas-guzzling SUVs, and a frozen credit market. According to the LA Times, Ford and GM are each burning through $1 billion a month in scarce cash just to keep going.

    Adding another blow to Detroit's desperate hope for a quick fix, the Washington Post reports that US automakers may not see any of the recently approved $25 billion government loan program for more than a year. The emergency loan, the largest government support of the US auto industry since the 1979 Chrysler bailout, was enacted to help Detroit automakers switch to more energy-efficient vehicles. However, carmakers have been counting on it to tide them over until the credit markets begin to thaw.

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    10/22/2008 11:18:00 AM 0 comments

    Friday, October 17, 2008

     

    Harley In Hog Hell

    by Dollars and Sense

    Like the hawkers of their 4-wheeled brethren, Harley Davidson is facing tough times. The Wall Street Journal reports today that the company is being hit by a double whammy of slumping consumer sales and a major squeeze on their in-house financing unit, which provides credit for both customers and dealers.

    Although they're not in as bad shape as GM (currently in merger talks with Chrysler, although the lack of available credit is holding things up), company sales are down 9% for the first three quarters of 2008 versus a year earlier, and operating income from Harley's financing unit fell 28% in the latest quarter, according to the WSJ.

    While still profitable, Harley's net income in the third quarter fell 37% compared to a year earlier.

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    10/17/2008 02:06:00 PM 0 comments

    Friday, October 10, 2008

     

    General Motors In a Ditch

    by Dollars and Sense

    GM shares plunged to their lowest price since 1949 before recovering slightly, reports the Washington Post. Analysts are concerned that the global auto industry is on the verge of "outright collapse." Standard & Poor said on Thursday that it is considering cutting the rating of both GM and Ford to "junk" status, which would sharply increase their cost of borrowing.

    Both domestic and imported car sales have been plummeting in the wake of the financial market meltdown.

    According to a company statement

    "Clearly we face unprecedented challenges related to uncertainty in the financial markets globally and weakening economic fundamentals in many key markets," GM said in a statement on Friday.

    "But bankruptcy protection is not an option GM is considering," it said. "Bankruptcy would not be in the interests of our employees, stockholders, suppliers or customers."


    Somehow this doesn't inspire a lot of confidence.

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    10/10/2008 11:05:00 AM 0 comments